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Polygon disputes that escalated to the Ethereum-mainnet UMA DVM. Each links a Polygon dispute to the L1 vote that decided it — and surfaces how concentrated that deciding vote was.
| Market / questionId | Revealed weight (UMA) | Voters | Top-5 share | HHI | Pivotal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | 6 211.669 400 | 2 | 100.0% | 0.998 | 1 | → |
Epstein client list released by June 30? | 5.360 000 | 1 | 100.0% | 1 | 1 | → |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | 2 029.454 547 | 3 | 100.0% | 0.533 | 3 | → |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | 2 744.415 804 | 4 | 100.0% | 0.353 | 1 | → |
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills? | 1 037.317 224 | 17 | 98.3% | 0.952 | 1 | → |
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | 70.315 548 | 15 | 81.6% | 0.506 | 15 | → |
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | 17 066 917.208 045 | 517 | 46.1% | 0.063 | 514 | → |
Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami? | 18 130 521.652 148 | 552 | 43.1% | 0.056 | 33 | → |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026? | 18 215 618.450 103 | 500 | 42.9% | 0.056 | 30 | → |
0x92e41eb6…826574untitled | 18 691 534.509 274 | 362 | 41.2% | 0.053 | 47 | → |
0x53980d3d…926689untitled | 18 898 442.791 349 | 629 | 41.0% | 0.052 | 472 | → |
0x5e421252…926607untitled | 18 898 442.791 349 | 629 | 41.0% | 0.052 | 464 | → |
0x5c6a4d23…277775untitled | 19 028 801.066 231 | 570 | 40.9% | 0.053 | 75 | → |
0xd76b14c7…277597untitled | 19 028 801.109 297 | 570 | 40.9% | 0.053 | 107 | → |
0x29ae3ee8…586219untitled | 19 382 472.874 533 | 559 | 40.3% | 0.051 | 70 | → |
0x44c60852…317845untitled | 19 433 395.458 200 | 605 | 39.9% | 0.05 | 585 | → |
Will DR Congo finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | 0.000 000 | all reveals abstained | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | → |